Combined fiscal deficit of Centre, states may go up to 14 pc in FY21: ex-RBI governor Rangarajan
The combined fiscal deficit of states and the centre during the current year may go up to 14 per cent against the mandated level of six per cent, former Reserve Bank governor C Rangarajan said on Thursday.
Speaking at a programme organised by the ICFAI Business School here, the former Chairman of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister said banks should neither be timid nor adventurous while lending as the loans of today should not become NPAs of tomorrow.
“So therefore, we are essentially talking about 13.8 per cent or 14 per cent of the GDP (gross domestic product) as the overall fiscal deficit of the states and the Centre. It is obvious this is twice the mandated level. The mandated level for both the Centre and state is 6 per cent of the GDP. It is twice or even more than twice of the estimated figure,” he said.
According to him, the fiscal deficit may further go if the government decides to go in for additional borrowings to meet GST compensation part. Rangarajan said RBI’s monetary policy is “consistent” under the present circumstances and as a result banks have adequate liquidity for more lending.
He opined that governments needed to spend more when the economy was in slump and it was essential to spend on healthcare, relief and rehabilitation and on stimulus to spur the economy.
“There are three types of expenditure required. One- expenditure on healthcare second is the expenditure on relief and rehabilitation. Third is expenditure on stimulus. And it appears that the government both at the Centre and states are somewhat slow in increasing expenditures,” he said.
He said the economic growth of the country and other nations had come to a grinding halt due to lockdown to contain the spread of coronavirus.
However, he said capital flows into India was encouraging during the last three months.